Thursday, October 07, 2010

Chart of the Week: Mortgage Meltdown

FLASH:   A spokesman for the President says he will not sign H.R. 3808, the Interstate Recognition of Notarizations Act.  The White House blog has more on the subject.
Update: One of the consequences of the mortgage meltdown is the mounting litigation over improper foreclosures. Homeowners are hiring lawyers and fighting the banks trying to repossess homes.  It is no secret whose side Congress in on in this battle. Congress refused to consider middle class tax relief before elections, but a bill making it more difficult to challenge improper foreclosures sailed through the Senate without public debate on the last day before recess. A special procedure was invoked by Democratic leadership to take the languishing bill out of the Senate Judiciary Committee so it could be passed by unanimous consent with the help of Repugnants. The bill had already been passed by the House twice. The ease with which the legislation passed even surprised its Repugnant sponsor, Senator Robert Aderholt. Questions about notarizations, improper affidavits, and other court filings have risen in foreclosure actions by big banks such as JP Morgan, Bank of America and GMAC. Some bank employees have testified that the notarizations in mass filings were made without appearing before the notary who sealed the attestation. Also in some foreclosure cases, affidavits of personal knowledge were made by processors without actual knowledge of the documents' contents. Widespread halts of foreclosure proceedings and increased costs have been the result of the exposed irregularities. The bill awaits the President's signature. The Interstate Recognition of Notarizations Act requires all states and federal courts to recognize notarizations made in other states, including electronic notarizations made en masse. Currently only a dozen states recognize such computerized imprimaturs.

{5.10.10}Not a very colorful chart this week, but it conveys important information about the crippled American real estate market:
source: Business Insider.com
It shows the continued alarming rise in mortgage defaults.  There is a prediction by a respected mortgage analyst that 1 in 5 borrowers will default, an unprecedented level of mortgage non-performance!  The recent touted improvement in mortgage performance is due to large scale loan modification activity. Nineteen percent of mortgages underwater by 120% or more are defaulting every year as home buyers walk away from their increasingly uneconomic investment. Such behavior has been characterized as "immoral" or "un-American", but frankly Americans have never faced such a severe real estate deflation before. A family who defaults can typically live in their home for 20 months rent free while the foreclosure system processes their defaulted loan and repossesses the house. Alarmed mortgage professionals are calling for missed mortgage payments to be treated as W2 income! Private money has abandoned the home mortgage market due to increased risk, with the severest declines in the jumbo category where government accounts for 90% of current originations. Is this Wall Street's version of the "final solution" for the middle class?