Friday, May 30, 2008

Le Shorter: The Magic Number

42
Nota Bene: Even if Hill&Bill is awarded her proportion of the Florida delegation of 211 which calculates to 105 based on her 50% to 33% victory in that primary, it's not enough to overcome Obamanation. Based on this arithmetic, Obama would be awarded 67 delegates, plus the 13 pledged to Edwards and 5 Florida automatic delegates for a total of 85 resulting in a net +28 for her (Hill&Bill has 8 Florida supers). Dividing Michigan's delegation of 156 is even more problematical for Hill&Bill because their opponent was not even on the ballot. Only a 50/50 split would be fair to all candidates. Currently Obama's margin is +200 in contested delegates. Slice it or dice it--he wins.